+

Ambassador John Bolton Endorses Leora Levy for U.S. Senate

Washington D.C. – Former Assistant to the President for National Security Affairs, Ambassador John R. Bolton, announced the John Bolton PAC’s endorsement of Leora Levy for U.S. Senate in Connecticut. Additionally, the John Bolton PAC will contribute $5,000 to her general election campaign. 

Statement by Ambassador John Bolton: 

“Leora’s unique personal story will bring a special perspective to debates in the Senate when it comes to national security. Through her work with veterans’ groups, she is also uniquely positioned to be a voice for the needs of those who serve. I am confident she won’t be intimidated by America’s enemies, which is a big change from what Connecticut has now in the Senate.” 

Statement by Leora Levy: 

Out-of-touch career politicians are failing the American people. Joe Biden and Dick Blumenthal’s open border policies have encouraged the invasion at our southern border as deadly fentanyl, human traffickers, gang members and terrorists flood into our country. They have bolstered our enemies with a disastrous withdrawal from Afghanistan, and they are legitimizing a despotic, theocratic regime as they attempt to negotiate a new Iranian Nuclear Deal. On top of that, they have made life unaffordable for every American with trillions of dollars in wasteful spending. Unlike Dishonest Dick who stole veterans’ valor, I proudly stand by our veterans and active military, and will champion policies at home and abroad that puts our nation’s interests and the American people first. The only way to change America is to change the leadership. I am honored to receive Ambassador Bolton’s endorsement, and I look forward to restoring common sense to Washington. 

About the John Bolton PAC (www.boltonpac.com): Through his PAC, SuperPAC and Foundation, Ambassador John Bolton defends America by raising the importance of national security in public discourse and supporting candidates who believe in strong national security policies. Ambassador Bolton has worked hard to restore conservative leadership, which must reverse the recent policies of drift, decline and defeat. America must rise to the occasion and acknowledge the indispensable role we play in the world. Through 2020, Ambassador Bolton has endorsed over 200 candidates and raised nearly $20 million for his organizations. 

+

New Poll Finds Trump Hurts Republican Chances in Key Senate Races

July 28, 2022
CONTACT: Sarah Tinsley, Director
John Bolton SuperPAC
202-621-8056
[email protected]

Independents’ Opposition to Trump Could Give Democrats Outright Senate Control.

Washington D.C. – A new national survey conducted by John Bolton Super PAC of likely voters in four key Senate battleground states (Georgia, North Carolina, Ohio, and Pennsylvania), results indicate that Donald Trump is a significant drag on the general-election prospects of Republican candidates. Independent and undecided voters, whose votes will be critical, perhaps dispositive in November, nationally and in the four swing states, have decidedly unfavorable views of Trump. In all but Georgia, Republican candidates are trailing.

With Independent voters, Donald Trump is Favorable 38%, Unfavorable 48%, a net negative of minus ten points. Only 12.5% of Republican primary voters identified as ‘Trump Republicans’ and 73% as moderate or conservative.

Ron DeSantis continues to gain on Trump among prospective 2024 GOP primary voters. Trump has just a 2 point lead (33-31). In all, 67% of 2024 GOP primary voters picked a candidate other than Donald Trump.

Georgia: Republican Herschel Walker leads Democrat Raphael Warnock by 4 points, 46% to 42%. With Undecided voters in the Georgia Senate race Trump is Favorable 31%, Unfavorable 43%, a negative of minus 11 points.

Pennsylvania:
Republican Mehmet Oz trails by 6 points. With Undecided voters Donald Trump is Favorable 34%, Unfavorable 48%. An obstacle.

Ohio: Republican J.D. Vance trails Democrat Tim Ryan by six points, 44% to 38%. With Undecided voters in the Ohio Senate race Trump is Favorable 24%, Unfavorable 52%. Another obstacle.

North Carolina: Republican Ted Budd trails Democrat Cheri Beasley by 3 points, 43% to 40%. With Undecided voters in the North Carolina Senate race Trump is Favorable 33%, Unfavorable 33%.

Characterizing the survey’s results, Ambassador John Bolton said:

“These results do not mean Republican candidates should not campaign as true conservatives, only that they stress their loyalty to principles. We can still win these races, but the candidates need to separate themselves from Trump. Whatever Trump’s role in the nominating process, his role in the coming general elections can be fatal to GOP efforts to gain outright control of the Senate.”

“Trump’s fixation on himself and the 2020 election are poisonous to independent and undecided voters. Republican candidates who hope to win in November are risking political suicide if they stress their closeness to Trump, or allow their opponents to portray them as mini-Trumps.”

Other Key findings from the poll include:

-The poll also found that 60.4% believe that a new Republican candidate, “a fresh face,” would be more likely to defeat Biden in the 2024 presidential election, while 22.9% disagree.

-On the critical question of whether Vice President Mike Pence acted correctly or incorrectly on January 6, 2021, regarding the counting of Electoral College votes, 66.3% sided with Pence, while only 14.7% sided with Trump. Of those surveyed, 81% believe that Biden is legally President of the United States, while 13% disagree.

-Americans are equally divided over whether Trump should be prosecuted for the January 6 Capitol riot (45.9% yes, 45.5% no), while 49.5% believe that Trump incited the crowd to storm the Capitol, and 39.8% disagree.

-Among Republicans asked how they describe themselves, 45.1% said they were “conservatives”; 27.7% said they were “moderates”; and only 12.5% said they were “Trump Republicans.” The rest were undecided or did not answer.

Asked who they would support for President in a primary held today, 33.3% said Trump, 30.7% said DeSantis, and all the rest were in single digits.

These findings are based on a survey conducted on behalf of John Bolton Super PAC of likely general election voters in Pennsylvania, Ohio, North Carolina and Georgia was taken between July 22-24, 2022. We polled 1200 voters, 300 voters in each state. Political veteran Carter Wrenn helped analyze the results. The survey of general election voters has a margin of error of +/- 2.8% at a 95% confidence interval.

Through his PAC, SuperPAC and Foundation, Ambassador John Bolton defends America by raising the importance of national security in public discourse and supporting candidates who believe in strong national security policies. Ambassador Bolton has worked hard to restore conservative leadership, which must reverse the recent policies of drift, decline and defeat. America must rise to the occasion and acknowledge the indispensable role we play in the world. Through 2020, Ambassador Bolton’s endorsed over 200 candidates and raised nearly $20 million for his organizations.

Download the Summary
Download the Crosstabs

+

Ambassador John Bolton Endorses Ron Johnson in Critical U.S. Senate Race

Bolton PAC boosts Johnson in a must-win race to retake the U.S. Senate.

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

June 30, 2022
CONTACT: Sarah Tinsley
[email protected]

Washington D.C. – Former Assistant to the President for National Security Affairs, Ambassador John R. Bolton, announced today that he will once again endorse Senator Ron Johnson for the U.S. Senate and the John Bolton PAC will contribute $5,000 to his primary campaign.

“We live in dangerous times. America needs strong leaders who are committed to fighting for U.S. interests abroad while keeping Americans safe at home. I believe Ron Johnson is prepared to do just that,” said Ambassador Bolton.

“The Biden Administration’s strategic incoherence has put American security, prestige, and credibility on the line. Given Russian threats, Chinese assertiveness, and the growing nuclear menace of Iran and North Korea, now is exactly the right time for voters to take a serious interest in national security.”

Senator Ron Johnson issued the following statement in response to Ambassador Bolton’s endorsement and contribution to his campaign:

“The Biden administration’s embarrassing and dangerous withdrawal from Afghanistan has weakened America and tempted adversaries like Russia, China, Iran and North Korea to become more aggressive. It is not surprising that Russia chose to invade Ukraine with Biden in power. John Bolton and I both agree with Ronald Reagan’s dictum that America achieves peace through strength, and I appreciate his support.”

Ambassador Bolton plans to significantly increase candidate endorsements and contributions in this election cycle. Founded in 2013, the John Bolton PAC continues to be one of the most active leadership PACs in the country.

About the John Bolton PAC (www.boltonpac.com): Through his PAC, SuperPAC and Foundation, Ambassador John Bolton defends America by raising the importance of national security in public discourse and supporting candidates who believe in strong national security policies. Ambassador Bolton has worked hard to restore conservative leadership, which must reverse the recent policies of drift, decline and defeat. America must rise to the occasion and acknowledge the indispensable role we play in the world. Through 2020, Ambassador Bolton’s endorsed over 200 candidates and raised nearly $20 million for his organizations.
.

###

+

Ambassador John Bolton Endorses Gail Huff Brown Key House Race

Bolton makes a rare pre-primary endorsement in a key House race.

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

June 30, 2022
CONTACT: Sarah Tinsley
[email protected]

Washington D.C. – Former Assistant to the President for National Security Affairs, Ambassador John R. Bolton, announced today that he will endorse Gail Huff Brown for the U.S. House of Representatives in New Hampshire’s 1st Congressional District and the John Bolton PAC will contribute $5,000 to her primary campaign.

“New Hampshire has always been a critical state for the GOP. Voters are acutely aware that national security must remain at the forefront. From protecting our borders to stopping the flow of illegal drugs, to the need for America to be strong and respected throughout the world, I believe Gail Huff Brown is the right person for the job,” said Ambassador Bolton.

“The Biden Administration’s strategic incoherence has put American security, prestige, and credibility on the line. Given Russian threats, Chinese assertiveness, and the growing nuclear menace of Iran and North Korea, now is exactly the right time for national security to remain at the forefront of the public policy debate.”

Gail Huff Brown issued the following statement in response to Ambassador Bolton’s endorsement and contribution to her campaign:

“I am honored to receive Ambassador John Bolton’s endorsement. With a lifetime of service to our country informing his endorsement, Ambassador Bolton knows I am the only candidate in this race with the foreign policy experience needed to secure our nation’s borders, push back on bad actors abroad, and support a true America First agenda.

“It is incumbent upon Congress to protect American interests at home and abroad, something we aren’t seeing under the current administration. I am ready to get to work on day one to protect our freedoms and restore New Hampshire’s voice in Congress.”

Ambassador Bolton plans to significantly increase candidate endorsements and contributions in this election cycle. Founded in 2013, the John Bolton PAC continues to be one of the most active leadership PACs in the country.

About the John Bolton PAC (www.boltonpac.com): Through his PAC, SuperPAC and Foundation, Ambassador John Bolton defends America by raising the importance of national security in public discourse and supporting candidates who believe in strong national security policies. Ambassador Bolton has worked hard to restore conservative leadership, which must reverse the recent policies of drift, decline and defeat. America must rise to the occasion and acknowledge the indispensable role we play in the world. Through 2020, Ambassador Bolton has endorsed over 200 candidates and raised nearly $20 million for his organizations.

###

+

New Poll Shows Trump Unraveling

January 19, 2022
CONTACT: Sarah Tinsley, Director
John Bolton SuperPAC
202-621-8056
[email protected]

Voters identifying as “Trump Republicans” drop 14 points, Trump’s support tanking.


Washington D.C. – A new national survey conducted by John Bolton Super PAC of likely voters revealed a 14-point drop in Republican Primary voters identifying themselves as “Trump Republicans.” Voters calling themselves “Trump Republicans” fell to 14.6% from 29.4% in September. Trump’s “very favorable” numbers also dropped 11 points with GOP primary voters continuing their decline, down from 55% in September to 44% now.

The poll also revealed a substantial decline in the power of Trump’s endorsement: Republican primary voters “definitely voting” for a Trump-endorsed candidate are down to just 12.6%, compared with 28.8% in September, a 16-point drop.

Statement by Ambassador John Bolton:

“The trend lines across our polls are definitive – support for Donald Trump is tanking within the Republican party. Trump’s endorsements are becoming irrelevant at best. For over a year, Trump has been telling anyone who’d listen ‘the election was stolen’ – now, when Trump says that voters shake their heads. 79% of all voters say Biden is ‘legally President,’ and 67% of Republican primary voters say Biden is legally President. Voters also think their vote will be counted fairly, and they see Trump’s personality as a major weakness.

“One final example: Last January, President Trump told Vice President Pence to throw out Electoral College votes. Pence said he did not have authority under the Constitution to do so. A majority (53%) of Republican Primary voters now agree with Pence not Trump. In fact, only 20% agree with Trump. Our party is not dominated by Trump.”

Key findings from the poll include:

-Joe Biden has rebounded and now narrowly leads Donald Trump in a general election match up (44%-43%) after trailing in the September poll. Both Independent and Undecided voters now dislike Trump more than Biden. With Independent voters Biden is Favorable 43%, Unfavorable 50% a net negative of -7 points. With Independents Trump is Favorable 36, Unfavorable 56, a net negative of -20 points. With undecided voters Biden’s net negative is -28 points, and Trump’s net negative is -42 points.

-While we saw minor improvements for Trump in ballot matchups against potential GOP primary opponents (from 26% in September to 36% now), he remains 10 points lower than he was in April and July. In all, 64% of Republican primary voters do not support Trump. Ron DeSantis leads among the other possible candidates (19.5%). Liz Cheney, polled for the first time, was at 6%. 22% were undecided.

-Additionally, a majority of primary voters (56%) believe that a “fresh face” is needed to defeat Biden in 2024.

-In a significant reversal, Republican primary voters now feel confident their vote will be counted fairly in the next election (52%-38%) compared with their attitude in September (45%-49%), a net change from -4 to +14.

-By 2 to 1 Republican primary voters believe that Donald Trump should have immediately taken action to stop the rioters on January 6th – only 25% agree with Trump not acting immediately.

-As Biden’s foreign policy continues to stumble, a majority of Republican voters (66%) now fear that Vladimir Putin sees America’s withdrawal from Afghanistan as a sign of weakness, leading Putin to believe Russia can invade Ukraine. Among all voters, 53% see the withdrawal as a sign of weakness.

These findings are based on a national survey conducted on behalf of John Bolton Super PAC of 1,000 likely general election voters. Political veteran Carter Wrenn helped analyze the results. The survey of general election voters has a margin of error of +/- 3.1% at a 95% confidence interval. This poll is the fourth national poll conducted by John Bolton Super PAC over the last ten months. All data collected for this poll and the previous ones can be found on the website. The full topline analysis and crosstabs are available at: www.boltonsuperpac.com

Through his PAC, SuperPAC and Foundation, Ambassador John Bolton defends America by raising the importance of national security in public discourse and supporting candidates who believe in strong national security policies. Ambassador Bolton has worked hard to restore conservative leadership, which must reverse the recent policies of drift, decline and defeat. America must rise to the occasion and acknowledge the indispensable role we play in the world. Through 2020, Ambassador Bolton’s endorsed over 200 candidates and raised nearly $20 million for his organizations.

Download the Summary
Download the Crosstabs

+

New Data: Voters Upset with Afghanistan Strategy and Outcomes, ‘Botched’ by both Trump and Biden

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

September 30, 2021
CONTACT: Sarah Tinsley, Director
John Bolton SuperPAC
202-621-8056
[email protected]

Washington D.C. – New data released from the third national survey conducted by John Bolton Super PAC of likely voters revealed only 33% of voters favored withdrawing all troops from Afghanistan. 50% of the Democrats supported withdrawing all troops compared to only 31% of Independents and 17% of Republicans.

Trump and Biden both supported withdrawing from Afghanistan. Withdrawing hurt Biden with Independents where his Favorables dropped 13 points and his Unfavorables rose 17 points, a net drop of 30 points. Supporting withdrawal hurt Trump with conservatives, where in the Republican primary Trump’s vote among Very Conservative voters dropped 23.5 points.

Statement by Ambassador John Bolton:

“Voters rejected the Trump-Biden Afghanistan withdrawal strategy proving that everyday Americans have a better sense of our security needs than the current and previous occupants of the Oval Office. Overwhelming numbers see this as a major failure that makes America less safe and emboldens terrorists and adversaries to challenge the United States.”

New data released from the September poll:

1. Do you agree or disagree with the following statement? “President Trump and President Biden both made major mistakes in Afghanistan – to move forward we need new leaders and fresh faces.”

Agree 50.5
Disagree 39.6
Refused/DK 9.9

2. Question: In your opinion, does the withdrawal of US troops from Afghanistan make the United States safer from terrorism, less safe from terrorism, or does it make no difference?

Safer 5.8
Less Safe 51.8
No Difference 37.0
Refused/DK 5.4

Note: 77% of conservative voters said withdrawal made us less safe.

3. Question: President Trump and President Biden both negotiated with Taliban – they told Taliban: ‘We will withdraw our troops if, in exchange, you do not assist terrorist groups like Al Qaeda.’ In your opinion, did President Trump, President Biden, or both, make the mistake of trusting Taliban to keep its promises?

Trump made mistake 14.5
Biden made mistake 31.6
Both 39.5
Refused/DK 14.4

Note: In total, 71% said Biden made a mistake. 54% said Trump made a mistake.

4. Question – True or Untrue: The Taliban is a terrorist group.

True 88.3
Untrue 5.1
Don’t know 6.6

5. Question: The Taliban is a terrorist organization and former President Trump should not have negotiated with terrorists.

True 55.5
Untrue 30.4
DK/Refused 14.1

6. Question: After 9/11 Taliban protected Al Qaeda and Osama bin Laden. Knowing this, do you agree or disagree with the following statement: “Withdrawing from Afghanistan wasn’t a good idea that was botched – it was a bad idea because now Taliban will once again provide terrorist groups – like Al Qaeda – with safe havens and a base of operations.”

True 56.2
Untrue 25.9
DK/Refused 18.0

Note: Liberal voters disagree but both moderate and conservative voters agree. Conservative voters agree most – 69%. Republicans agree (72%), Independents agree (60%), Democrats agree but more narrowly (A-41, D-34, DK-24).

7. Question: True/Untrue: “Taliban supports terrorist groups like Al Qaeda.”

True 80.8
Untrue 5.6
DK/Refused 13.6

Note: Liberals agree 71%, moderates agree 79%, conservatives agree 89%. Republicans agree 91%, Democrats agree 74%, Independents agree 79%.

8. Question: Looking back, do you think the U. S. should have: 1) Withdrawn all its troops from Afghanistan; 2) Withdrawn some but left troops in the country; 3) Not withdrawn any; 4) Not withdrawn and sent more troops.

Withdrawn all 33.1
Left some troops 42.2
Not withdrawn any 9.8
Sent more troops 5.0
DK/Refused 9.9

Note: In all, only 33% of voters favor withdrawing all troops. 50% of the Democrats said withdraw all troops compared to only 31% of Independents and 17% of Republicans.

9. Question: President Trump made a mistake in negotiating only with the Taliban and agreeing to the Taliban’s demand of excluding the government of Afghanistan.

Agree 50.6
Disagree 30.3
DK/Refused 19.1

10. Question: Our failure in Afghanistan will encourage jihadist groups across the globe, encouraging them that they can succeed, thus making them more likely to attack the United States.

Agree 60.8
Disagree 29.1
DK/Refused 10.1

These findings are based on a national survey conducted September 16-18, 2021, on behalf of John Bolton Super PAC of 1,000 likely voters. Political veteran Carter Wrenn analyzed the results. The survey of general election voters has a margin of error of +/- 3.1% at a 95% confidence interval.

Through his PAC, SuperPAC and Foundation, Ambassador John Bolton defends America by raising the importance of national security in public discourse and supporting candidates who believe in strong national security policies. Ambassador Bolton has worked hard to restore conservative leadership, which must reverse the recent policies of drift, decline and defeat. America must rise to the occasion and acknowledge the indispensable role we play in the world. Through 2020, Ambassador Bolton’s endorsed over 200 candidates and raised nearly $20 million for his organizations.

+

New Poll: Trump takes big hit among Republican voters; Biden and Trump both suffer huge political damage

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

September 29, 2021
CONTACT: Sarah Tinsley, Director
John Bolton SuperPAC
202-621-8056
[email protected]

National security failure shakes up the 2024 Republican Primary as Trump falls into a virtual tie with Ron DeSantis.

Washington D.C. – A new national survey conducted by John Bolton Super PAC of likely voters revealed huge political damage for both Donald Trump and Joe Biden stemming from the botched withdrawal from Afghanistan. The deepest impact for Trump was suffering a stunning 20-point drop with 2024 Republican primary voters (46% in July to 26% in September). The poll finds Trump virtually tied (26.2%-25.2%) with Florida Governor Ron DeSantis. This dramatic movement is the strongest evidence yet that Republican voters are tiring of Trump. 57% of Republicans say ‘to move forward we need new leaders and fresh faces.’ The poll was conducted after the withdrawal from Afghanistan was completed.

President Biden also saw a 10-point plunge in his popularity overall, but dropped a shocking 30-points with Independents, the key swing voters in the General Election.

Statement by Ambassador John Bolton:

“These numbers will probably come as a shock to Donald Trump. After 20 years in Afghanistan, it’s clear that Americans are unhappy with leaving as we did. Voters were smart enough to see that President Trump started the withdrawal and legitimized the Taliban through negotiations. They recognize that withdrawal carries more risks for the homeland than keeping a U.S. and NATO military presence in Afghanistan. Biden bears the responsibly for the final embarrassing moments and his corresponding drop in support reflects that, but it’s not lost on anyone that Trump, like Biden, wanted to withdraw and shares the blame for the failure. National security matters to voters, especially when failure leads to greater risks, so you rightly see conservatives quickly considering options other than Donald Trump.”

Key findings from the poll include:

    • Neither Trump or Biden fared well on Afghanistan, with a majority saying major mistakes were made by both Presidents and a slightly larger group (55%) saying it was a mistake for Trump to negotiate with the Taliban.
    • A majority of voters (51%) said the U.S. is less safe as a result of the withdrawal from Afghanistan, including 77% of conservatives. Voters also disagreed with the strategy entirely, with 57% saying troops should have remained and 81% agreeing the Taliban supports terrorist groups like Al Qaeda.
    • Consistent with our prior polls, the desire for a fresh face continues to increase. Since former president Trump’s popularity has dropped with voters since the 2020 election, 57% to 29% agree that a new Republican candidate – a fresh face – would be a stronger candidate to defeat Joe Biden in 2024.
    • Trump’s vote dropped from 46% in July to 26% in September in the 2024 Republican primary field. He is now virtually tied, 26.2% to 25.2% with Florida Governor Ron DeSantis.

    Note: Trump’s vote dropped from 46% in July to 26% in September. He dropped 23.5% with Very Conservative voters and 22% with Somewhat Conservative voters.

    1. Question: If the next Republican primary for President in your state was held today, and the candidates were Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Ron DeSantis, Mikki Haley, Josh Hawley, Kristi Noem, Mike Pence, Marco Rubio, Tim Scott, and Donald Trump – for whom would you vote?

    Sept July +/-
    All primary voters
    Donald Trump 26.2 46.0 -19.8
    Not Trump 73.8 54.0 +19.8
    Very Conservative Primary voters:
    Donald Trump 34.0 57.5 -23.5
    Not Trump 66.0 42.5 +23.5
    Somewhat Conservative Primary voters:
    Donald Trump 24.5 46.9 -22.4
    Not Trump 75.5 53.1 +22.4
    Moderate primary voters:
    Donald Trump 17.8 25.2 -7.4
    Not Trump 82.2 74.8 +7.4

    2. If the next Republican primary for president in your state was held today, and the candidates were Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Ron DeSantis, Nikki Haley, Josh Hawley, Kristi Noem, Mike Pence, Marco Rubio, Tim Scott And Donald Trump for whom would you vote?

    Donald Trump 26.2
    Ron DeSantis 25.2
    Chris Christie 7.2
    Nikki Haley 6.0
    Ted Cruz 4.7
    Kristi Noem 3.0
    Mike Pence 2.6
    Tim Scott 2.3
    Marco Rubio 1.9
    Josh Hawley 1.3
    Undecided 19.6

    These findings are based on a nationally representative survey conducted September 16-18, 2021, by political veteran Carter Wrenn on behalf of John Bolton Super PAC, of 1,000 likely general election voters. The survey of general election voters has a margin of error of +/- 3.1% at a 95% confidence interval.

    Through his PAC, SuperPAC and Foundation, Ambassador John Bolton defends America by raising the importance of national security in public discourse and supporting candidates who believe in strong national security policies. Ambassador Bolton has worked hard to restore conservative leadership, which must reverse the recent policies of drift, decline and defeat. America must rise to the occasion and acknowledge the indispensable role we play in the world. Through 2020, Ambassador Bolton’s endorsed over 200 candidates and raised nearly $20 million for his organizations.

+

New National Poll:Trump’s GOP Support Is Fragmenting

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

July 19, 2021
CONTACT: Sarah Tinsley, Director
John Bolton SuperPAC
202-621-8056
[email protected]

Post-election missteps are leading Trump’s core supporters to abandon him

Washington D.C. – A new nationwide survey by John Bolton Super PAC of voters reveals that a majority of Republican primary voters now agree “that a new Republican candidate – a fresh face – would be a stronger candidate to defeat Joe Biden in 2024.” That is a major shift since our first national poll taken in April where 50% of primary voters said Trump would be the strongest candidate to defeat Biden while 36% said another candidate would be stronger. That’s a shift of 17 points away from Trump and 16 points to a “fresh face” – a 33-point swing.

Specifically, Republican primary voters disapprove of Trump’s handling of the January 6 riot, sided with Pence over certifying electoral college voters, and are concerned over the recent Trump Organization indictments.

Ambassador John Bolton:

“The significant amount of data in this poll should be of considerable interest to Republican candidates at all levels: presidential, congressional, and state/local.

The data show the fissures in Trump’s base are expanding, and show that GOP voters still prize good policy above anyone’s personality.”

Other key findings from the poll include:

– A third of Trump’s most ardent supporters – Republican primary voters who are Very Favorable to Trump – now say a fresh face would be a stronger candidate against Biden than Trump. Of Republican primary voters who are less ardent Trump supporters – voters who are Somewhat Favorable to Trump – 69% said a fresh face will be a stronger candidate.

– By a share of 2:1, Republicans sided with Mike Pence recognizing that the Vice President lacks the authority to throw out electoral college votes. 62% of all voters agree with Pence – only 14% agree with Trump. Republican primary voters also agree with Pence (43%) while only 23% agree with Trump.

– 46% of Republican primary voters believe Trump should have taken stronger steps to stop the rioters when they entered the Capitol and an overwhelming 62% of general election voters indicating Trump is to blame for the attack.

– Recent Trump organization indictments are big trouble for Trump with 45% of all voters saying the indictments for tax evasion and other charges make them less favorable to Trump, along with 22% of Republican primary voters.

– Despite Trump’s claims “the election was stolen, 64% of all voters now say Biden won the election and “is truly President.” Biden leads Trump in the 2024 Presidential ballot and Democrats lead the 2022 generic congressional ballot.

These findings are based on a nationally representative survey conducted by political veteran Carter Wrenn on behalf of John Bolton Super PAC, of 1,000 of likely midterm general election voters, with an oversample of Republican voters. The survey of general election voters has a margin of error of +/- 3.1% at a 95% confidence interval.

Through his PAC, SuperPAC and Foundation, Ambassador John Bolton defends America by raising the importance of national security in public discourse and supporting candidates who believe in strong national security policies. Ambassador Bolton has worked hard to restore conservative leadership, which must reverse the recent policies of drift, decline and defeat. America must rise to the occasion and acknowledge the indispensable role we play in the world. Through 2020, Ambassador Bolton’s endorsed over 200 candidates and raised nearly $20 million for his organizations.

Download the Summary
Download the Crosstabs

+

New poll shows Trump’s base in New Hampshire drops 35% since October 2020.

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

June 4, 2021
CONTACT: Sarah Tinsley, Director
John Bolton SuperPAC
202-621-8056
[email protected]

Washington D.C. – A new survey of New Hampshire voters by John Bolton Super PAC and the New Hampshire Institute of Politics revealed former President Donald Trump’s base has dropped 35% since the election with 2024 Republican primary voters. Trump’s decline is primarily due to his personality or character, as 61% of Republican voters say they disapprove of his personality. These results confirm trends among Republican primary voters first revealed in polling results released by John Bolton Super PAC in April.

Statement by Ambassador John Bolton:

“The second survey commissioned by the John Bolton Super PAC, this time of New Hampshire voters, undertaken by St. Anselm College’s Institute of Politics, shows a continuation of trends identified in our first poll, a national survey announced in April – an ongoing weakening of support for Trump within the Republican Party. This is true not only in the national poll, but in New Hampshire, a key state for the 2022 mid-term elections, with both Senatorial and Gubernatorial elections scheduled. And, New Hampshire, of course, remains the first-in-the-nation Republican primary in 2024 for the Party’s presidential nomination.

As described more fully in the attached narrative and presentation of results to the survey questions as presented to us by St. Amselm College’s Institute of Politics, we believe that the “conventional wisdom” that former President Trump still controls the Republican Party is becoming increasingly less and less tenable among his strongest supporters, regular Republicans as well as Independents. The rhetorical gap between the increasing disenchantment of actual Republican voters on the one hand and the vested interest of Trump and his supporters on the other is becoming broader.

We welcome additional polling on the subjects we have been raising by all responsible pollsters. As we demonstrated in our first national poll announced in April, we are committed to openness and transparency and have released all the data for everyone to view. With the very concept of public-opinion polling on political questions under heavy criticism in the United States, we believe nothing less is satisfactory. So for all the others who may engage in polling similar to ours, we would also welcome your commitment to full transparency as well.”

Key findings from the poll include:

– Trump has suffered a significant erosion of “strongly favorable” voters. 47% of Republican voters now have a strongly favorable opinion of Trump, compared to 71% just prior to the election. Trump has a narrow lead in the GOP primary — 52% vote Trump, 48% not Trump.

– 61% of New Hampshire Republican voters disapprove of Donald Trump’s personality. Voters in New Hampshire also say, overwhelmingly, that a candidate’s stands on issues is more important to them than a candidate’s loyalty to Trump – by a margin of 91% to 8%.

– Voters disagree with Trump’s claim that he won the 2020 election by a wide margins — 58% to 28%.

– 46% of New Hampshire Republican voters said Trump’s opposition to a Republican candidate in a primary made no difference to them. Trump’s endorsement helps a candidate in a primary but also makes it harder for the candidate to win the general election. 56% of the Undeclared voters are Strongly Unfavorable to Trump and almost all vote for Biden.

These findings are based on a survey of New Hampshire voters conducted on behalf of John Bolton Super PAC by the New Hampshire Institute of Politics, of 1,267 of likely midterm general election voters, with an oversample of Republican voters. Political veteran Carter Wrenn helped analyze the results. The survey of general election voters has a margin of error of +/- 2.8% at a 95% confidence interval.

Download the Summary
Download the Crosstabs

+

Poll reveals Trump’s GOP base is weakening.

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

April 20, 2021
CONTACT: Sarah Tinsley, Director
John Bolton SuperPAC
202-621-8056
[email protected]

Data shows that Trump endorsements are significantly less positive than seen by conventional wisdom.

Washington D.C. – A new nationwide survey by John Bolton Super PAC of midterm election voters revealed that support for President Trump is weakening inside the GOP. Specifically, 56% of Republican primary voters would support a candidate other than Donald Trump. Further, midterm voters revealed that a Trump endorsement in a race had very little net positive effect, and overwhelmingly signaled that a candidate’s position on key issues mattered more than a candidate’s loyalty to Donald Trump.

Statement of Ambassador John Bolton:

This is a critical time for the future of the Republican Party: what it stands for and who leads it. I am, therefore, delighted to announce the results of our recent nationwide public-opinion poll, the first in what we hope we will be a series of surveys at the national and state levels. As described in more detail below, the poll was aimed at better understanding attitudes about a variety of factors affecting the Republican Party and its future: views on issues and policies; opinions about former President Donald Trump; and voting preferences looking forward. To that end, we surveyed both a 1000-person sample of all voters and an oversample of Republicans (600 in number).

We were motivated in part because of the palpable discrepancy in our public discourse between what commentators, politicians and others assert about the present and future status of the Republican Party, and the evidence they possess to support their contentions. Clearly, we face a “rhetoric gap,” a significant disjunction between opinions and facts. One of our principal objectives here is to contribute to closing that rhetoric gap.

It is understandable in light of recent election-year experience that many Americans have lost all or much of their confidence in the integrity, accuracy and fairness of public-opinion polling. We make no special methodological claims for this poll, other than to say we rigorously employed highly regarded professional practices. In addition, we are making our results public for all to see and analyze.

One poll alone is obviously only a start, which is why we hope to continue and elaborate on this poll on a regular basis going forward, both at the national level and in selected states, and also expect to make these results public. We welcome competition. Those dissatisfied with the results we present here are free to conduct their own polls. The more data the better. As the words from the Bible carved on the walls in the CIA lobby say: “And ye shall know the truth, and the truth shall make you free.”

Key findings from the poll include:

– As the number of Republicans who describe themselves as ‘very favorable’ to Donald Trump has declined by 19 points since last October, with voters citing Trump’s personality as the reason for the decline.

– 50% of Republican primary voters indicated Trump opposing a candidate makes no difference to them while 26% said they would be more likely to vote against a candidate Trump opposes. 24% said they would be more likely to vote for a candidate Trump opposes – a margin of just 2 points.

– By a margin of 89% to 8% Republican primary voters said a candidate’s stand on issues matters more than a candidate’s loyalty to Donald Trump.

– 64% of the Republican primary voters who said they liked Trump’s policies but not his personality would vote for a candidate other than Trump in the 2024 presidential primary. Even among voters who ‘Like Both Trump’s Policy and Personality,’ almost one-third do not vote for Trump.

These findings are based on a nationally representative survey conducted by political veteran Carter Wrenn, president, PEM Management Corporation, Raleigh, North Carolina, on behalf of John Bolton Super PAC, of 1,000 of likely midterm general election voters, with an oversample of Republican voters. The survey of general election voters has a margin of error of +/- 3.1% at a 95% confidence interval. The survey of 600 Likely Republican general election voters has a margin of error of +/- 4.0% at a 95% confidence interval.

The full topline analysis and crosstabs are available here: www.boltonsuperpac.com

Through his PAC, SuperPAC and Foundation, Ambassador John Bolton defends America by raising the importance of national security in public discourse and supporting candidates who believe in strong national security policies. Ambassador Bolton has worked hard to restore conservative leadership, which must reverse the recent policies of drift, decline and defeat. America must rise to the occasion and acknowledge the indispensable role we play in the world. Through 2020, Ambassador Bolton’s endorsed over 200 candidates and raised nearly $20 million for his organizations.

Download the Summary
Download the Crosstabs

ABOUT JOHN BOLTON

Ambassador John Bolton, a diplomat and a lawyer, has spent many years in public service. He served as the U.S. Permanent Representative to the United Nations in 2005-2006. He was Under Secretary of State for Arms Control and International Security from 2001 to 2005. In the Reagan Administration, he was an Assistant Attorney General.